Italy, as usual,  has paved it's way to the semis by actually winning a single game – against Ireland – and drawing 3 games (1-1 vs Spain, 1-1 vs Croatia and 0-0 vs England). Germany has won all 4 games and although the scoreline does not indicate it – has been dominant in all 4 (1-0 vs Portugal, 2-1 vs Holland, 2-1 vs Denmark and 4-2 vs Greece). Yogi Lev knows he can't allow his team to be drawn into an OT and the penalty shootout as the Italians have a clear edge in a goalkeeping and the Germans would lose all of their otherwise clear advantage in an open field game. He will throw into the battle all his artillery from the beginning and will force the Italians to commit early in he game knowing that Squadra Azura has yet to play coming from behind. He will be hoping to take an early lead. In addition to all the listed reasons – the Germans will be playing on 5 days rest while the Italians on 3 and in soccer that is a factor.

I will produce number of the picks on this semi. But the side pick will be the main one.

Germany -0.5  -110  5 Units (please note that Germany win is priced -120 while Asian Handicap Germany -0.5, which is the same, is priced at -110)

Game DateHome TeamAway TeamPickUnitsOddsW/L/PInvestedReturnProfit
2012-06-24GermanyItalyHome Win5 -110Loss550$0$-550$